The American economy is less entrepreneurial now than at any point in the last three decades. That's the conclusion of a new study out from the Brookings Institution, which looks at the rates of new business creation and destruction since 1978.
Not only that, but during the most recent three years of the study -- 2009, 2010 and 2011 -- businesses were collapsing faster than they were being formed, a first. Overall, new businesses creation (measured as the share of all businesses less than one year old) declined by about half from 1978 to 2011.
The authors don't mince words about the stakes here: If the decline persists, "it implies a continuation of slow growth for the indefinite future." This lack of economic dynamism, particularly the steep drop since 2006, may be one reason why our current recovery has felt like much less than a recovery. As Matt O'Brien noted on Wonkblog last week, annual job growth rates have stubbornly refused to budge above 2 percent for the duration of the recovery.
The authors of the Brookings study dug beyond the national numbers to look at the change in new firms at the state and metro levels and found that they generally mirrored the national trends."
This puts numbers to what I've witnessed over my lifetime, the death of entrepreneurism in America. I think it's deadly, what do you think?
The death of the small farm was the first sign I noticed, "bigger and better." Bigger is NOT better. I saw a 24 row corn planter sitting idle because the electronics wouldn't work. Right next door was a small farmer like me planting with his "antiquated" 6 row planter with mechanical markers.
The very best sales point of an FFA Chapter in every school in America is the Supervised Agricultural Experience Program. That teaches a youngster to plan a business, learn by doing it and keeping records on it. A negative number at the end of the year can be the best teacher.
The man in the picture is Mark Denzler, Rushville, Indiana, and owner of First Choice Seeds. He has grown his business every year since he started in 1996. He is one of the few independent seedsmen left.
We lost half our farmers in the farm financial crisis in the 80's. Ask any farmer about what has happened in agriculture alone.
Ed Winkle
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The foxes now outnumber the hens; things aren't going to get any better.
ReplyDeleteThe regulations and paperwork and taxes and....
ReplyDeleteVery discouraging...
ReplyDeleteSmaller isn't better either. It takes all kinds.
ReplyDeleteDavid Seck
I agree with you on farming, or as Schumacher said in the 70s, "Small is Beautiful," the motto of alternative economists at the time. I should re-read this insightful book, to see if it's still relevant today. Not many people think the rural economy should be maintained with farming jobs though, if it means higher food cost, or lower efficiency or yield. I don't think one implies the other, but making it happen is a tough challenge and requires more than creative thinking. I read that at one time, the government had the best seeds and distributed them to the farmers for free. I wish ag universities would work more in the seed selection area and provide a similar service, since they are funded by the public. Not for free, of course, since they would need to contract seed growers for the large quantities required by modern farming, but still, that would reduce the cost of intrants a bit.
ReplyDeleteI don't know if entrepreneurship is dead, but yes, I also read it has been declining. Bush left a falling down job creation figure and a plummeting deficit, you can see from the chart that it has nothing to do with the change of presidency or with job/corporate regulations. The economy after 9/11 even seemed to recover a bit, it actually gave a big boost to counter the job decline trend, until about 2006, when we started paying the high cost of these 3 trillion dollars wars. It's a pity the graph goes only as far as 2011 for a study released in May 2014. This kind of graph should be kept updated monthly as new figures are released.
But it's even worse since Bush.
ReplyDeleteEd
Well the graph in your article shows that the number of new enterprises has been rising since 2010, that's why I would have like to see the graph till 2013, to show if the trend persisted or not. Regardless, Bush cost the economy $3 trillions with the Iraq war, and bankers another 11: http://www.ted.com/talks/william_black_how_to_rob_a_bank_from_the_inside_that_is
ReplyDeleteCall me cynical, but Obama seems small change compared to that, and even then, the cost of the ACA is offset by its permanent health benefits to the society, unlike the cost of war that fueled a few jobs temporarily, and the pockets of Bush's friends permanently.
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